The Critics’ Choice Awards were handed out last night by the Broadcast Film Critics Association, and they could be a predictor of how things shake out with the Oscars. The top prize of the night went toRomawithAlfonso Cuaronalso picking up Best Director for his personal, autobiographical drama. Perhaps the biggest surprise of the night was a tie in the Best Actress category whereLady Gagawon forA Star Is Bornalong withGlenn CloseforThe Wife. It looks likely that both actresses have locked down Oscar nominations, but it would be wild if there was also a tie at the Academy Awards. Meanwhile, while it looks likeChristian Baleis gearing up for his first Best Actor win as he followed up his Golden Globes victory forVicewith a win from the BFCA. It also looks likeMahershala AliandRegina Kingare starting to pull away in the supporting categories forGreen BookandIf Beale Street Could Talk, respectively.

While the Critics’ Choice Awards hasn’t always been seen as a barometer of what the Academy will choose, Adam Chitwood pointed out to me that last year the Critics’ Choice Awards lined up with 16 of 18 categories at the Oscars. That being said, I still don’t thinkRomacan win Best Picture because it’s been ghettoized to the Best Foreign Language Film category, which means that voters don’t want to give it the night’s top prize. This is the same reason why no animated film or documentary will ever win Best Picture.

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The full list of nominees and winners (noted inred) is below:

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